latest yougov opinion poll scotland

More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. @BritainElects. In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. State of the Nation. Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. All rights reserved. independence? View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. On 23 November 2022, the UK Supreme Court ruled that the Scottish Parliament does not have the power to unilaterally hold an independence referendum without the consent of the Westminster Parliament. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. About; Social . As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. Don't miss out! Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. The pollster found. We don't have an account for this email address. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. A Y YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . The result of an IndyRef today 2 March 2023. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. This once again reaffirms how sleaze and scandal remain the most potent political weapons in British politics, ones which can quickly and easily cut through to voters. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Energy & utilities. Early 2021. We list the most recent surveys: Wings Over Scotland poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 14 Feb 2023: Confirmation Bias for BeginnersFull results, By well over 2 to 1, respondents felt that they were being let down by the people who are supposed to speak for them. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . Please check you have typed it correctly. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. 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The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. The State of Nationalism in Scotland, detailed the previous responses from this survey by grouping options one and two as "independence", options three and four as "devolution" and option five as "No Parliament". Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Business & professional services. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed.

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